Showing posts with label WWII. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WWII. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Dynamite Economy 3 Summary for Deadly Urgency

Solvere, Cognose LIM Swee Keng (Sep 22, 2008)
http://www.cts-ideas.com/ tab Cognose.blogspot.com
Dynamite Economy 3 – Summary for Deadly Urgency

What we see today, collapsing, chain collapsing of financial institutions, like a dominos. The root causes have been discerned as early as 2001,[1] since then, time, scale, together with cause, effect, wrong solutions and resolutions have been detailed.

Financial industries depends on the economy at large, this reflect also the economy at large.

By 2000, innovation came to a halt, economy, predominantly technology-led economy definitely come to stagnation. No new, significant industries has been racing for listing, investment bankers face over-capacity.

However, Over Abundance Wealth (OAW) has been cumulated that find no profitable ventures. Negative interest rate and war were predicted then. So they were.

Negative Interest rates are fabrications.
Fabrication has no limit, so free wheeling of fabrication escalated till stand stark as most profitable, biggest employers, in 2007.


To inject Well Governed Funds to Free Private Hands, in the market flooded with OAW, is analogous to inject sugar into diabetics. It will clog the arteries, impair physical body, and caused stroke, paralyze. Again it has been forewarned. It was taken note, but not acted adequately.[2],[3],[4] The situation today, is the outcome – parallel to The Great Depression.

The said reference to Japanese similar rescue in the 1990 by her Financial Service Minister of State Yoshimi Watanabe, is irrelevant. Unlike America, Japanese was a smaller economy and did not lead all the major fields of industries. The funds latter were quickly absorbed into new immense industries - the internet, mobile communications expansions - the most rapid technology-economic expansion in history. There was no impact to commodities prices that sink the economy, as we see today.

Free Private Hands, is subjected to no governance, no obligation to facilitate the bigger picture. When they are over-endowed with OAW, they move from financial instruments (which are not factor of production) to commodities (key factors of productions). When bank call for liquidity, OAW in private hands has no obligation to response, this is Credit Crunch in OAW. This is worse than stagflation, because stagflation is merely a phenomenon spanning private, public sectors. While OAW overloaded in private, ungoverned hands, is a dynamite-clogged arteries, clogging every passage of economic activities – material, transport, communication.

Many drew parallel to The Great Depression.
No one has mentioned of its sequel – WWII.
This may be because after two major campaigns, no one can foresee mighty power will commit another.

However, today real weapons and virtual tools while multiplied in power, are miniaturized in size and within the access of private, many faceless people. Without visibility, governance, accountability, the damage will be much bigger, wide spread, unpredictable, uncontrollable. The damage will be far beyond the sequel of The Great Depression – WWII.

With globalization, with weaken, poorer governments, the outcome will be worse than WWII.

So before we foolishly empty nations’ vaults, weaken governments, we must act to prevent such tragedy from happening.

Here, practical solutions, that take priority to address the nature of human is presented, supported by technology, invention, apply with philosophical depth.

To mop up the OAW from Free Private Hands is the right approach.
To create new industries, in innovative way, immediately implementable is prescribed.
The outcome will be to bring
1. millions urbanities and billions rural farmers busy creating wealth,
2. to keep them occupy, so that even their insatiable nature is fulfilled, because
3. their vigor is engaged in meaningful, profitable engagement.

The Fed, the Treasuries may think such fundamental approach take too long, but the correct treatment for all serious ailments took long time, arduous effort, patient to heal.

Taking any quick approach, like pouring well govern funds into OAW market, is like helicopter dropping of dynamite into wild fire, when even the last plant has lost water - dried up. The outcome is obvious, destruction, violent destructions. You see your delivery, but others experience the death, burnt and torn bodies, while no one actually is saved – the spread ensure no one can escape, no spot for the pilot to land!

But if you understand human nature, once a good, effective policy is conceived, the market confidence swing before the policy is fine tuned, approved, implemented. People start to move, faster, more decisively, than legislature, executive branches – when there is profit to make.

So the Fed and Treasuries, together with world leaders must improve not just their understanding of economy, also

the very purpose of their function – wealth creation
only wisdom will bring peaceful, progressive, prospering world

while brute force, foolishness
using wealth to destroy wealth creating engine
resulting in depression, retardation, poverty of even the richest


Choose the sections relevant to save the world from worse than WWII.

Dynamite Economy 3 Summary for Deadly Urgency
[1] “Real Economy, Realities of Economy, Economic Realities” April 2001, collected in “Cognose – Recover the Lost Key to Infinite Wisdom.” ISBN-9810-513757
[2] “Dynamite Economy” Aug 13, 2007, http://www.cts-ideas.com/G0813DynamiteEconomy.pdf
[3] Sep 9, 2007, after delivered above warnings, I have encouraged Steve Forbes, on a luncheon in Raffles Hotel, Singapore, that America must lead to create new industries.
[4] “Dynamite Economy - Proliferation, Wrong Solutions, Resolutions” , Nov 8, 2007 http://www.cts-ideas.com/G1108DynamiteEconomyProliferation.pdf

Monday, September 22, 2008

Dynamite Economy 3.6 Wisdom from History

Solvere, Cognose LIM Swee Keng (Sep 22, 2008)
http://www.cts-ideas.com/ tab Cognose.blogspot.com
Dynamite Economy 3 - Deadly Urgency
3.6 Wisdom from History

Historically, when agrarian communes matured into feudal states, without necessary wisdom to drive economy, when power of communes become inadequate to survive, while organizing into feudal states was an experiment, great philosophical thinking came side by side with centuries of bloody conflicts.

Today, when the world has evolved from sovereign states into global village,
with borders fading away,

without learning from history, without philosophical depth,
we would easily repeat what those great philosophers failed to mitigate -
ceaseless blood flowing battle fields, of east, of west.

But we journeyed thousand years of journey,
we have integrated wisdom of west, of east, of intuition, of analysis.

We must prevent bloodshed, strife, even hardship, suffering from furthering,
while we gracefully migrate into a tightly integrated global commune.

The Great Depression, brought up only World War Two,
only a few states had mighty power,
only a few exceptional leaders can pull the triggers. A
nd they can be found guilty,
and in fact few war criminals were executed.

Dynamite Economy 3.7 Where can we be heading

Solvere, Cognose LIM Swee Keng (Sep 22, 2008)
http://www.cts-ideas.com/ tab Cognose.blogspot.com
Dynamite Economy 3 - Deadly Urgency
3.7 Where can we be heading

Today, with more powerful weapons, miniaturized, store in private bunkers belongs unknown.
Today, with connected world, some unknown can monitor, adulterate from a far, prices can be justified by mathematics model that pack junks and sell you for a good fortune, respectfully and legally. Most transactions, the only record is in one computer, which can be easily adulterated yet cannot be fully protected, audited.
Today, Globalized business made businessmen richer than nations, Lawyers smarter than legislators, bad management, misadventure, corporate failures, can demand support from nations.

The scale, spread of calamity, will be beyond World War II.

Sovereign Nations cannot act alone.
Just like post agrarian commune, while experimenting Feudal States was not ready to effectively govern. Great Philosophers came too late.

We need global cooperation, governance, yet Global Cooperation, Governance, Leadership are yet ready.

Without immediate action to create massive industries, to keep everyone bus
Without global order to manage businesses
The rapid escalation of immense wealth, brains power, fire power in free private hands
Will bring about unprecedented chaos

Compare to what can come, if we do not solve it, effectively now!
Barings, Enron, Societ General, WWII are just small plays!

Solutions, immediate, practical, this engineer, inventor, philosopher has prepared for nations with different situation.
Sharing this understanding, joining our wisdom and might
We shall carve, record the future into a happier history!

Dynamite Economy 3.10 Importance of Human Motivation

Solvere, Cognose LIM Swee Keng (Sep 22, 2008)
http://www.cts-ideas.com/ tab Cognose.blogspot.com
Dynamite Economy 3 - Deadly Urgency
3.10 Importance of Human Motivation

Late 90s, Economists discussed about the situation when interest rate zero bound[1],[2]. They cannot imagine interest rate can go negative, because they understood very well number, busy with building models, they do not respect the nature of human.

In fact, as early as 1970s, holding Swiss Franc was an attractive option. Foreigners were given negative interest rate to hold this privileged currency.

January 24, 2003, Friday, normal Japanese domestic interest rates went negative. Banks lent money on that night and accepted back a smaller amount on Monday morning. Banks have too much money from the mighty works of Morita-Matsushita generation. Cheap money overshadowed the reality – dearth of real wealth creating engines for investing, economy definitely stagnated, Japan lost her eminence, economy remain at the valley for almost a decade now.

If we understand nature of human, these are not only reasonable acts, these acts indeed are predictable, from the basic instincts of investors’ unpretentious positioning to reduce losses, to multiply profits.

If we look at only number, without satisfying human's nature of profit seeking, without invigorating the economy, how can present severe, complex problems be addressed correctly, even partially?
Will not partial anesthesia impair progressive movement?
Will not cosmetic surgery weaken the patients?
Will not incorrect solutions bring more harm?


To avoid the worse than WWII from unfolding
we need to solve this deadly urgent problem!

To solve this complex, deadly urgent problem with certainty, effectiveness, efficiency,
We need to satisfy the nature of human, even seemingly insatiable!


[1] “Three Lessons for Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Era” September 1999, David Reifschneider and John C. Williams, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551, david.l.reifschneider@frb.gov jwilliams@frb.gov
[2] “Price Stability and Monetary Policy Eectiveness when Nominal Interest Rates are Bounded at Zero” June 1998, Athanasios Orphanides and Volker Wieland, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Dynamite Economy 3.99 Deadly Urgency

Solvere, Cognose LIM Swee Keng (Sep 22, 2008)
http://www.cts-ideas.com/ tab Cognose.blogspot.com
Dynamite Economy 3 - Deadly Urgency
3.99 Deadly Urgency

Today is not about saving a few fallen giants.
It is about whole economy, whole global orders, to help the Over Abundance Wealth (OAW), cumulated over technology era, find profitable investments.

Injecting Well Governed Sovereign Funds into Free Private Hands, not only will not save a single corporate, it has already sky-rocket all key factors of productions, suffocating all businesses.

We cannot wish the brutality of Great Depression, WWII away, today, with more powerful weapon miniaturized, filling private bunkers, with mighty instruments sink good money into junks, the brutality will be beyond WWII, physical, financial. Worse, those who can inflict such catastrophe, are no longer nations leaders bound by laws, but by numerous faceless, nameless unknown, leaders, operators.


With present scale of injection
Oil will hit $200 in few months
All businesses will be suffocated!
Skillful frauds, penetrating at all level, all transactions, every computer!
not few companies, but Industries collapse AND Governments topple!

Putting intelligent brains, restless muscles onto the streets, the most at risk, even profitable companies will be exploited, beyond trains/banks robberies, massive frauds in paperless transactions.

The most brutally tormented will be the rich, the powerful and their vulnerable children.

All effort must try to mop up wealth held in Free Private Hands, through exchanges with longer term bonds. Promising higher yield in the long term is better, much better than promoting, accelerating market disarrays, promote detonations of Dynamites, in stock markets, all industries, whole world.

All investment must be done, to rejuvenate infrastructures, which need only matured technology.
This is to engage to full capacities of OAW, all brains to device more efficient design, to exhaust all muscles to construct.

Eventually, all businesses profit from more efficient greater environment, profit from multiplier effect,.

All research must be to develop new, more efficient, healthier, natural sources of agriculture for human food.[1] Fully use, cascading usage from roots to seeds, from desert thorns to water algae, for animal, industrial feedstock, for packaging and construction material. Only the waste be used for energy generations.
From same plot of land, same investment, farmers multiply their income –


Billions farmers shall enter middle class
Millions engineers, Factory workers invent, build new processing machines
Trillionaires shall come!!

All work, especially research, finance, banking must subject to tight discipline beyond transparency, accountabilities, also strict scientific reasoning of cause and effects.

Selling freedom, ignore the precious jewel in western cultures - strict disciplines, rigorous scientific cause and effect reasoning, measurable and repeatable evaluation, have brought the world away from efficient mass production factories that brought about billionaires, but unprecedented disaster that profit no one.

It is only such grave catastrophe, will bring the world back to reality, of responsible actions
Integrated world, cooperative progressing will be the next phase of civilization –

Post Industrialization Renaissance!!


[1] “Energy Solvere” http://www.cts-ideas.com/, update on cognose.blogspot.com, is one among 8, will bring billions farmers into middle class, billionaires shall come!